Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . May 11:Strobe quick early, late in sparkling debut victory, May 25:Pricey Nabokov pays off with 91 Beyer, June 2:Forte shouldimprove with distance, Beyer Slideshow featuring last weekends stakes winners from around the country with Beyer Speed Figures, sire/breeder information and more. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. Sven Beyer. color: #FFF; Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. Play today with NYRA Bets! 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . I'm going to take it one step at a time. Top Beyer Speed Figures. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. }. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? He's won four of his past five races, losing only by a head to Call Me Midnight in the Grade 3 Lecomte. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. [citation needed]. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. You can throw out superlative after superlative. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. font-weight: bold; [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. 107. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. Owned by WinStar . OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. Chance of rain 100%. Through 02/26/2023. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. In the army they called it unity of command. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) The list since 1987 The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. 111. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. font-size: 12px; Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Medaglia dOro and A.P. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. He's a special horse. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. In the only . The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Not a subscriber? Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May. Avg. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? You can then presume that he is faster than . Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. font-size: 12px; He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. Sonora, CA (95370) Today. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. No specifics, he said. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. 1 . The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 121. . The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Sell. Periods of rain. 92. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. 7 Winners on Monday! .tableizer-table td { These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group.
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