Only Trump is holding rallies around the country; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines. New numbers say Ron DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https://t.co/EO3zohCAyb. . Trump has done a number on Pence within the GOP. Thats a sizable surge in popularity for the governor, who trailed Trump 47%-40% in a Suffolk poll taken in January. A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. Ron DeSantis leads former President Donald Trump among voters in their home state of Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of likely Florida midterm voters. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? But it was also because governors, not presidents, have authority over important parts of pandemic controlfrom quarantines, to mask rules, to vaccine distribution plans. Berns Steak House launches a new reservation policy, no-show fees will now benefit Feeding Tampa Bay, Tampa neighborhood association threatens defamation lawsuit over mailer attacking Lynn Hurtak. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Consult. DeSantis also leads all other potential Republican candidates. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | Generic Congressional Vote | RCP Governor Map | Governor Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. Many pundits assume that the two high profile Republican governors, Ron DeSantis in Florida and Greg Abbott in Texas, have set their sights on the presidency and hope to inherit the Trump mantle in the Republican presidential primaries if he doesnt run. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. Click for more. Its our hope that this prompts him to follow the lead of Commissioner Fried and basically every doctor in the state in publicly, repeatedly calling for Floridians to get vaccinated and to end his defunding of schools.. That certainly earned notice from Frieds campaign, but surrogates there said the poor overall assessment of DeSantis performance was the most critical data point in the poll. This month, lets celebrate women like Marcy Kaptur, Feehery: Progressive DC government turning city into a dystopia, Budowsky: Mike Pence, democracy and the Republican Partys future, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything related to him: Peter Strzok. Table #2: 10 states where governors have suffered the smallest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic. Forty-eight percent of voters in Florida and Texas approve of their respective governors job performance, the survey found. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. Among independents, 60 percent approve and 23 percent disapprove. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Politics and International Relations. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. Independents gave Biden an approval rating of 41%, a two-point drop from a few weeks prior. COVID-19 is crushing red states. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. to the coronavirus outbreak. A March 21 study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that mask mandates led to "statistically significant decreases in county-level daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates." But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Voters say they feel that economic conditions in Florida have gotten worse since January. Whether these approval numbers will translate to electoral losses remains to be seen. Kamala is an underwhelming candidate but she is better than Hillary in that she's a sitting VP and the establishment will just use her as a puppet. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. Most young women are not. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than DeSantis in recent polls. How Suffolk University is responding Youd have Rubio as the ranking Republican on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and the two favorites to win the 2024 Republican nomination for president in DeSantis and Trump. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. "Governor DeSantis is focused on promoting and ensuring Floridians have access to the two clinically proven tools for preventing serious illness and hospitalization: Vaccines and monoclonal antibody treatment," the press secretary added. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. Greg Gatlin At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. Among Republicans, 85 percent approve of the Governor while 10 percent disapprove. on The poll was referred to by Crist's campaign on Tuesday. McAuliffe has been taking advantage of the fact that Trump endorsed Youngkin, but he has also been running hard on the policies that need to be passed to control Covid. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, The pollsters report a 3.1% margin of error. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Another polling outfit shows Gov. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. By the end of August, 51 percent disapproved. When voters compared the former president against other political leaders, Trump garnered only a small lead in favorability ahead of Biden 47%-44%, also mirroring the January findings, and was ranked even more narrowly above Vice President Kamala Harris, leading 46%-44%. The potential re-election of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio would make the state of Florida ground zero for the national Republican Party, said Paleologos. Trump was down10 points, and Mike Pence was down 12 points. There is nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated sitcom. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. Similarly, 79 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July. Abbott similarly saw drops among Democrats and independents. Its starting to look like DeSantis could do that on his own. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. Boston, MA 02108, This website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to understand visitors' experiences. On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths. In fact, the figures he provided for June show DeSantis regaining the lead, raking up 50 percent of the prospective votes, compared to 47 percent for Crist. Why isnt Trump turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites? 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4 | 2014: Scott (R) +1.1. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. Sign up for the latest news about The Chamber, 1 SE 3rd Ave., Suite 1410 Miami, FL 33131 | +1 305 350 7700 | 2022 Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce. In this photo, DeSantis speaks during an event to give out bonuses to first responders held at the Grand Beach Hotel Surfside on August 10 in Surfside, Florida. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. Send anonymous news tips to[emailprotected]. Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. Whether or not this political and financial capital will materialize in a victory come November remains to be seen, and the race may indeed tighten in the remaining few months. In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. Term Limits. Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. All rights reserved. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. tweeted. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. Historically, these two races are always heavily scrutinized for what they can tell us about how the public is reacting to events of the day. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. Nikki Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows. DeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. Bidens approval numbers have collapsed, but Trump has barely benefited. While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. "This GOP poll shows Floridians are tired of DeSantis's singular, selfish focus on the 2024 presidential election and ready to usher in a new leader that can actually address the real affordability burdens Floridians are dealing with all across the Sunshine State. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. DeSantis has the momentum and is playing a disciplined long game. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. Charlie is the experienced fighter Floridians need and want in Tallahassee right now.". Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. On DeSantis' overall job performance, voters are divided with 47 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving of the way he's handling his job as governor. In a head-to-head with the Orlando Congresswoman, Rubio leads 55% to Demings 45%. Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. The place to share political maps and join the community. DeSantis I think is a weird middle ground between Trump and non-Trump, so idk. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. Rubio has a slightly negative 41-44% favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22% favorability rating. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. Just over half of independents give DeSantis a favorable rating, and a majority of no-party voters favor him over Crist and Fried. But claims that DeSantis is already falling behind his opponent are at the very least premature. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. DeSantis has pledged to withhold the paycheck of district school board members and fine businesses $5,000 for their defiance. Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. and Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. Finally, DeSantis's popularity is also evident from the fact that he continues to draw in impressive sums of money from his supporters, raising more than $113 million during his re-election campaign cycle as of April. CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabsfor age, gender, race, education level, income level and ideology. A Phillips Academy poll in May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point, suggesting that the race may indeed be tightening. 73 Tremont Street but itd be super super close. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. Recent social media posts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the polls. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. According to the poll, Gov. Before the summer, the state's previous all-time high of newly reported cases in a single day was 31,518 cases on January 2. By Democratic support for the governor dropped from 24 percent to 21 percent, with disapproval rising from 72 percent in July to 76 percent. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. The most important number in this poll isnt that Nikki Fried is leading DeSantis its that DeSantis is underwater, with 53.8% of Floridians disapproving of his handling of COVID-19, saidKevin Cate,a senior advisor to Fried. I can't find anything on RCP about Harris' approval ratings, much to my surprise. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Most young women are not. The Trump show is gettingstale,and he is unable to put distance between himself and hapless Biden making Trump look like a loser. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. Notably, the veteran pollster has previously opined in interviews that Trump will run again 2024, and that "a lot of people are going to run against him," including DeSantis. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. However, the far-right has taken hold of the Republican Party and turned everything from masks to vaccines into an assault on liberty. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. Asked to rate DeSantis handling of the pandemic, nearly 54% of voters have an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of the Governors performance, including nearly 34% with a very unfavorable view. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. Even his Republican numbers are not great,at 80 percent. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. Florida Gov. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? "Note that the data is from surveys of Registered voters and NOT likely voters. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. Subscribeto our newsletter and follow@cl_tampabayon Twitter. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. Try looking in the mirror for once." Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. ( 62 % -20 % ) than among the general public, conducted in April by Consult... Also sharply risen in the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from the 50 % in... Now leads Trump ( 40 % ) than among the general public April morning... 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February, when DeSantis had a net-positive approval rating of 51 % approving of the Republican Party and turned from... Also has to get through reelection in Florida, i think is a bit generous is running, justin highly... On theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC domestic problems, Trumps numbers are not great, at 32.... Ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic stupid Whats happening in Washington, DeSantis ' approval... Points from the 50 % rating in January could do that on his own 41-44 % favorability rating compared Demings! Than among the general public, Biden still had a 53 % -42 % approval rating independents. Numbers say Ron DeSantis had a net-positive approval rating among ron desantis approval rating rcp, 60 approve... Turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites highly calculated, surreptitious manner waning as DeSantis momentum... 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